Why Don't You Tell Me About Your Personal Situation?eBook

 
World Food Security: A History since 1945
 
 
 
 
 





Future Action

 


August-2007
21:53
MAC/WFY
Page-448
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Figure 42.1
Possible impacts of climate change on growth and development
Temperature
rise ( C)
Water
Food
Health
Land
Environment
Abrupt and
large-scale
impacts
1
Small glaciers in
the Andes
disappear
completely,
threatening water
supplies for 50
million people
Modest
increases in
cereal yields
rise in
temperature
regions
At least 300,000
people each year die
from climate-related
diseases
(predominantly
diarrhoea, malaria and
malnutrition).
Drop in winter
mortality in higher
latitudes (Northern
Europe USA)
Permafrost thawing
in Canada and
Russia damages
buildings and roads
At least 10 % of
land species face
extinction
(according to one
estimate). 80 %
bleaching of coral
reefs, including the
Great Barrier Reef
Atlantic
thermohaline
circulation starts to
weaken
2
Potentially
20­30 % decrease
in water available
in some vulnerable
regions, e.g.
Southern Africa
and Mediterranean
Sharp declines
in crop yields in
tropical regions
(5­10 % in
Africa)
40­60 million more
Africans exposed to
malaria
Coastal flooding
affects up to 10
million more people
each year
15­40 % species
face extinction
(according to one
estimate). High risk
of extinction of Artic
species, including
polar bear and
caribou
Potential for
Greenland ice
sheet to begin
melting irreversibly,
accelerating sea
levels rise to
possible 7 m
3
Serious droughts in
southern Europe
occur once every
10 years. 1­4
billion more people
suffer shortages,
while 1­5 billion
gain water, which
may increase flood
risk
150­550 million
more people at
risk of hunger (if
carbon
fertilization
weakens).
Agricultural
yields in higher
latitudes likely
to peak
1­3 million more
people die from
malnutrition (if carbon
fertilization weakens)
Coastal flooding
affects 1­170
million more people
each year
20­50 % of species
face extinction
(according to one
estimate). Onset of
Amazon forest
collapse (some
models only)
Rising risk of
abrupt changes to
atmospheric
circulations, e.g.
the monsoon.
Rising risk of
collapse of West
Antarctic ice sheet
threatened with
collapse




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